Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2764.312344 2990.036777 3218.800396 3467.688840 3730.521450 3999.512911 4295.297057
2025-01-05 2399.894038 2736.141596 3089.781522 3488.223162 3923.418246 4383.120417 4904.194366
2025-01-12 2155.226513 2556.453302 2990.219794 3491.528058 4052.389262 4658.063178 5359.039949
2025-01-19 1901.857373 2337.910462 2821.063761 3392.046953 4044.239583 4761.887938 5607.082793
2025-01-26 1818.289505 2300.207817 2844.741206 3499.630496 4259.765403 5108.283725 6120.887655
2025-02-02 1728.137723 2245.465926 2840.713728 3568.159410 4424.861660 5393.550318 6563.186478
2025-02-09 1612.600811 2151.682474 2783.138764 3566.958798 4503.045313 5574.550323 6882.743441
2025-02-16 1497.664378 2050.922594 2710.338519 3541.223595 4546.803836 5711.239153 7147.701490
2025-02-23 1427.177175 2000.273696 2693.941380 3579.559873 4663.851151 5932.014669 7510.387008
2025-03-02 1343.241342 1927.612100 2646.034030 3575.418913 4726.433939 6085.924895 7792.729218
2025-03-09 1292.469785 1894.274534 2644.434699 3626.184466 4854.288723 6317.225334 8167.692815
2025-03-16 1210.454520 1815.788776 2581.873215 3597.153297 4880.976334 6424.270965 8391.979014
2025-03-23 1175.704549 1799.310060 2598.824451 3669.776139 5036.352042 6691.682717 8816.257350
2025-03-30 1121.787482 1754.397479 2576.865766 3691.186416 5126.857479 6879.891219 9145.534201
2025-04-06 1064.788829 1702.254256 2542.791149 3694.632361 5192.885855 7036.865753 9436.327847
2025-04-13 970.953762 1594.145490 2429.918299 3590.889866 5118.180227 7015.453728 9503.983844
2025-04-20 963.255683 1607.498555 2480.466143 3703.080451 5322.388427 7345.140442 10010.795086
2025-04-27 941.578332 1599.435822 2500.868805 3774.524432 5473.695873 7608.763630 10436.548821
2025-05-04 896.064166 1554.402680 2468.440481 3773.272877 5528.739630 7749.628583 10708.070705
2025-05-11 844.854285 1498.495360 2418.664228 3746.444610 5548.431174 7844.252509 10920.651217
2025-05-18 818.283268 1478.344289 2418.217574 3786.408403 5656.448938 8052.558066 11278.676022
2025-05-25 779.377039 1437.534649 2386.745132 3782.091867 5704.240850 8182.556757 11536.812238
2025-06-01 759.945412 1425.950531 2396.639198 3835.006183 5829.077612 8413.170698 11925.343770